Towards an Australian Root Zone Soil Moisture Product
Jeffrey Walker
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
The  University of Melbourne
http://www.civenv.unimelb.edu.au/~jwalker

Importance of Soil Moisture
Early warning systems
Flood prediction – infiltration
Socio-economic activities
Agriculture – yield forecasting, management (pesticides etc), sediment transport
Water management – irrigation
Policy planning
Drought relief
Global change
Weather and climate
Evapotranspiration – latent and sensible heat

Drought Monitoring

Climate Modelling
Knowledge of soil moisture has a greater impact on the predictability of summertime precipitation over land at mid-latitudes than Sea Surface Temperature (SST).

The Problem With LSMs
Same forcing and initial conditions but different predictions of soil moisture!

GCM Requirements & LSM Estimates

The Situation

Soil Moisture Modelling

Catchment-based LSM

Catchment Discretisation

Tier 1: Better Forcing
Observational Data Sets
NCAR Northern Hemisphere Sea Level Pressure
 01/1899 – present; 5 x 5 degrees
Climate Research Unit (University of East Anglia) Temperature and Precipitation
01/01 - 12/98; 0.5 x 0.5 degrees
Center for Climatic Research (University of Delaware) Terrestrial Temperature and Precipitation
01/50 - 12/96 ; 0.5 x 0.5 degree
Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP)
01/86 - 03/95; 2.5 x 2.5 degree
Langley Eight Year Shortwave and Longwave Surface Radiation Budget
07/83 - 06/91 - in process of being extended; 2.5 x 2.5 degree
Re-Analysis Atmospheric Forcing Data Sets
ECMWF Re-analysis Advanced Global Data
 4x/day, 01/79 - 12/93
1.125 degrees  (Gaussian)
NCEP/NCAR Re-analysis
4x/day, 01/48 – 12/99
2.5 x 2.5 degrees
Bias Correct Using Monthly Mean Observational Data Sets

Soil Moisture Modelling

Near-Surface Soil Moisture
Remote Sensing: Historic

Soil Moisture Coverage: Veg (Mean PR)

Tier 2: Assimilation

SMMR Assimilation

Root Zone Moisture Comparison

Comparison With NDVI Data

Drought of 1982/83

AMSR-E Validation

Australian Validation Sites

GRACE: Gravity Recovery And Climate Experiment

GRACE: Gravity Recovery And Climate Experiment

Study Area: Murrumbidgee

A Vision for the Future
Combination of:
Land surface modelling
Near-surface soil moisture remote sensing
Streamflow measurement
SASMAS
Changes in earth’s gravity field
GRACE