Karsten Peters Research
 

Research

Publications

CV

Tropical convection and its representation in general circulation models (GCMs)

My currect project involves leading the way towards a new convection parameterisation for GCMs. The scheme should be able to represent the stochasticity of tropical convection because this is most commonly not represented in current convection parameterisations. As atmospheric convection is most probably the most uncertain aspect of atmospheric modelling, finding a new and perhaps better way to represent its effect in GCMs is of utmost importance.
This paper details the analysis of observed convective behaviour over two tropical locations (Darwin and Kwajalein). Further, the stochastic multicloud model (SMCM) deloped by Boualem Khouider, Andrew Majda and colleagues is found to adequately reproduce the observed convective behaviour.
Currently, I am working on implementing the framework of the SMCM into a GCM convective parametrization in collaboration with the convection group at the UK Met Office.

Influence of aerosol-cloud interactions on climate

Indirect aerosol effects

Indirect aerosol effects, i.e. the influence of aerosols on cloud microphysical properties, are the largest source of uncertainty when estimating climate sensitivity. To reduce this uncertainty, much basic research is needed.
I investigated the influence of shipping emissions on clouds by means of satellite and model data.

  • Simulations with the aerosol climate model ECHAM5-HAM show that the aerosol indirect effect from shipping emissions may be substantially lower than previously estimated and that the emission parameterisation has substantial influence on the results. See my PhD-Thesis for results.
  • From analysis of satellite data, we find no statistical significant influence of shipping emissions on cloud fields in the regions of interest. The accompanying paper is found here.
  • That paper was chosen as a research highlight by Nature Climate Change
Direct aerosol effects
For most atmospheric aerosol species, scattering dominates over absorption of radiation in the visible spectral range. The direct radiative forcing (DRF) at the top of the atmosphere (TOA) exerted by a layer of aerosol depends on the albedo of the underlying surface and the aerosol single scattering albedo (SSA). In cloud-free scenes, even strongly (but still also scattering) absorbing aerosols impose a negative TOA DRF over ice-free oceanic regions due to the dark underlying surface -- the local planetary albedo α is increased. If the surface albedo is increased, such as in case of clouds residing below aerosols, absorbing aerosols can exert a positive TOA DRF. In this case, the absorption of the particles dominates the scattering for the net TOA effect -- α is decreased.
Our paper investigating this effect from satellite data only can be found here.

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