Soil Moisture Estimation Using Remote Sensing
Jeffrey Walker
Dept Civil and Env Eng
The  University of Melbourne
Paul Houser
Hydrological Sciences Branch, Head
NASA Goddard Space Flight Center
http://www.civag.unimelb.edu.au/~jwalker

Importance of Soil Moisture
Early warning systems
Flood forecasting
Socio-economic activities
Agriculture management – yield forecasting, pesticides etc
Water management – irrigation
Policy planning
Drought relief
Global change
Weather and climate
Evapotranspiration

Soil Moisture vs Sea Surface Temp
Knowledge of soil moisture has a greater impact on the predictability of summertime precipitation over land at mid-latitudes than Sea Surface Temperature (SST).

The Situation

The Problem With LSMs
Same forcing and initial conditions but different predictions of soil moisture!

Importance of Soil Moisture

Soil Moisture Coverage: Veg (Mean PR)

Data Assimilation Defined
Definition 1: using data to force a model
ie. precipitation and evapotranspiration to force a LSM
Analogy: passenger giving instructions to a blindfolded driver on the M1 at peak hour

The Kalman Filter
(sequential assimilation)

Catchment-based LSM

Catchment Discretisation

Bias Reduced Forcing
Observational Data Sets
NCAR Northern Hemisphere Sea Level Pressure
 01/1899 – present; 5 x 5 degrees
Climate Research Unit (University of East Anglia) Temperature and Precipitation
01/01 - 12/98; 0.5 x 0.5 degrees
Center for Climatic Research (University of Delaware) Terrestrial Temperature and Precipitation
01/50 - 12/96 ; 0.5 x 0.5 degree
Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP)
01/86 - 03/95; 2.5 x 2.5 degree
Langley Eight Year Shortwave and Longwave Surface Radiation Budget
07/83 - 06/91 - in process of being extended; 2.5 x 2.5 degree
Re-Analysis Atmospheric Forcing Data Sets
ECMWF Re-analysis Advanced Global Data
 4x/day, 01/79 - 12/93
1.125 degrees  (Gaussian)
NCEP/NCAR Re-analysis
4x/day, 01/48 – 12/99
2.5 x 2.5 degrees
Bias Correct Using Monthly Mean Observational Data Sets
     Berg, Famiglietti, Walker and Houser, AMS 2001

SMMR Soil Moisture Observations

Soil Moisture Time Series: Illinois

Animation

Slide 16

Evaluation of Assimilation
How can we evaluate the soil moisture assimilation?
Soil moisture – ideal but limited data available. United states has 19 stations in Illinois, 6 stations in Iowa and transect of 89 points in New Mexico for SMMR period.
Analysis increments – only provides a check for systematic biases.
Runoff - data available but assumes that soil moisture is the only reason for poor estimates.
Evapotranspiration – data not available and assumes that soil moisture is the only reason for poor estimates.
Precipitation forecasts – assumes soil moisture is the only reason for poor forecasts.
Other ?

Soil Moisture: Iowa

Conclusions
First known study to assimilate space-borne soil moisture measurements
Soil moisture estimate with assimilation was an improvement when compared to point measurements