Integrated Development Policy Research
Brett W. Parris

                                                             Thanks for visiting. This site is my old one and is no longer being maintained. Please see my new site here.

My Roles & Contact Details
Selected Writings
Research Interests

Topical Pages (Updates day/month/yr)

Still think warnings about climate change are overblown?                         

Below is a chart whose implications I think everyone should try to grasp. It shows the relationships between carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4) and temperature for the last 430,000 years from Antarctic ice cores and from data from the last century. Temperature doesn't respond in lock-step with the changes in gas concentration. In fact, coming out of the ice ages, the temperatures generally started to rise first, driven mainly by changes in the Earth's orbit and the angle of the tilt of the Earth's axis. But the rise in greenhouse gases strongly reinforced the warming, making temperatures rise
higher, and for longer, than they would have otherwise. Temperatures have now risen by around 0.8ºC since pre-industrial times and about another 0.6ºC is coming down the pipe because of gases we've already emitted. The consequences of average temperatures rising above 2ºC are horrendous,
as shown here and here and as you can explore for yourself here. As the chart below suggests, we have a serious problem on our hands.

Note that temperature is measured in terms of deviations from the average from 1880-1899,
which is set to zero. Carbon dioxide is measured in parts per million (ppm) and methane is
measured in parts per billion (ppb). Kyr = “thousands of years”.

Source: Hansen, J.E., (2005) "A Slippery Slope: How Much Global Warming Constitutes
"Dangerous Anthropogenic Interference"?" Climatic Change, Vol. 68, No. 3, February,
pp. 269-279; p. 271.


Roles & Contact Details

During 2011 I am splitting my time between two roles:

                   Monash logo
        Research Fellow 

        Department of Econometrics & Business Statistics
        & Development Research Unit
        Monash University
        Wellington Rd.
        Clayton, VIC, 3800
        Tel: +61 (0)3 9905 5843
        Email: Brett.Parris [at]
        Deakin logo
School of International & Political Studies
        Faculty of Arts and Education
        Deakin University
        221 Burwood Hwy
        Burwood, VIC, 3125

        I will be teaching a number of units in Deakin's
        Master of International & Community Development


Qualifications       Back to Top

B.Sc. (Geology & Chemistry), B.Th. (Hons), M.A. (Development Studies), Grad.Dip.Ec.St., Postgrad.Dip.Ec., Ph.D.(Economics, Monash)

Research Interests      Back to Top

Given my background working across a number of different disciplines, I have a pretty eclectic range of interests and gravitate naturally towards interdisciplinary work.

Photos      Back to Top

Well, this is me ...                                                       ... but if we must have a picture, I actually like this one more.
It's from the Book of Kells, produced by Celtic monks around 800 AD.

                      Brett Parris                                          

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Last updated: 25 October 2011
Copyright © Brett Parris, 2011. All rights reserved.
This is a personal web page and does not necessarily reflect the views of Monash University.
See the official disclaimer.
The bars used on these pages are from Celtic Art & Illumination.